Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies Working Paper 22/2015
This paper empirically investigates the determinants of current accounts for a sample of 11 Central and East European Countries outside the Euro area. To this end we rely on the estimation of a panel VAR model with fixed effects over the period Q1 2005 to Q42014. Consistent with existing literature, we show that domestic GDP, the fiscal deficit, and the real effective exchange rate are key determinants of the current accounts of these countries. The dynamic relationships revealed in the paper complement the empirical literature on several fronts by providing new evidence from these emerging market economies.
current account determinants Central East Europe P-VAR GMM estimation