Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/122011
Authors: 
Luetkepohl, Helmut
Milunovich, George
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
SFB 649 Discussion Paper 2015-030
Abstract: 
Changes in residual volatility in vector autoregressive (VAR) models can be used for identifying structural shocks in a structural VAR analysis. Testable conditions are given for full identification for the case where the volatility changes can be modelled by a multivariate GARCH process. Formal statistical tests are presented for identification and their small sample properties are investigated via a Monte Carlo study. The tests are applied to investigate the validity of the identification conditions in a study of the effects of U.S. monetary policy on exchange rates. It is found that the data do not support full identification in most of the models considered, and the implied problems for the interpretation of the results are discussed.
Subjects: 
structural vector autoregression
conditional heteroskedasticity
GARCH
identification via heteroskedasticity
JEL: 
C32
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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