Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/115476
Authors: 
Mariscal, Rodrigo
Powell, Andrew
Tavella, Pilar
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
IDB Working Paper Series IDB-WP-504
Abstract: 
Inflation targeting has been adopted in a set of emerging economies, including eight countries in Latin America. The success of this regime may depend critically on the credibility of the target and the expectation that the authorities will take appropriate actions if the target is breached. This paper exploits a database of inflation expectations and attempts to measure whether, for a set of inflation targeters in Latin America, expectations are well anchored. A tighter anchoring of expectations is interpreted as a gain in credibility. Also considered are the effects on the credibility of the regime if the inflation target is breached. The results indicate that while inflation expectations have not been fully anchored over the whole sample period, credibility has risen, but at the same time the cost of breaching the target has grown.
Subjects: 
Inflation
Expectations
Inflation Targeting
Credibility
Latin America
JEL: 
E31
E42
E58
O54
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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