Heijman, Willem Johannes Maria Van der Heide, Cornelis Martijn Florax, Raymond J.G.M. Loman, Marc E.
Year of Publication:
38th Congress of the European Regional Science Association: "Europe Quo Vadis? - Regional Questions at the Turn of the Century", 28 August - 1 September 1998, Vienna, Austria
Shift-share is a popular, relatively easy to apply, tool in spatial analysis. Upon its initial development and use in the 1970s the literature has shown that serious drawbacks of the shift-share technique should be noted (e.g., lack of theoretical basis, sensitivity to level of aggregation). But several solutions have been proposed, and besides, when a technique is simple and apparently useful, it will be both widely used and heavily criticized. The aim of this paper was to apply a shift- share analysis for the labour volume and value added. This was done for 40 so-called COROP-regions in the Netherlands over several subperiods of the most recent decades (1973-1993). It was shown that the development over time of the three shift-share effects for labour volume and value added were much the same. This was not only shown by means of a Geographic Information System but also statistically proved. Other relationships between the outcomes of the shift-share analysis and a few, more or less, economic variables were investigated as well. And lastly, an interesting aspect was the course of the regional growth of value added and employment over time. This development was illustrated by using a concentration-coefficient.