Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/113197
Authors: 
Fischer, Christoph
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2015: Ökonomische Entwicklung - Theorie und Politik - Session: Common Currencies F11-V1
Abstract: 
The study presents an empirical strategy for determining global currency bloc equilibria. The procedure includes, first, a nested logit estimation of the combined determinants of currency regime and anchor currency choice; second, a test for a welfare-maximising regime decision, in which estimates of the relative welfare of alternative regimes are inferred from the results of the first step estimation; third, taking the path dependency of regime choice into account, a currency bloc equilibrium is derived. In equilibrium, the dollar bloc is somewhat smaller and the euro bloc larger than at present. Counterfactual exercises assess among others the potential for a renminbi bloc.
JEL: 
F02
F31
F33
Document Type: 
Conference Paper

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