Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/109454
Authors: 
Ferrarini, Benno
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
ADB Economics Working Paper Series 325
Abstract: 
The paper tabulates Myanmar's merchandise trade as reported by its partner countries, thereby circumventing the data constraints stemming from Myanmar's patchy trade records. It then estimates Myanmar's export potential, based on the bilateral export patterns observed for six other countries in Southeast Asia. Against that benchmark and controlling for outliers, Myanmar is found to be trading at about 15% its potential. The bulk of this gap is explained by very low trade with the industrialized countries. Through reintegration with the world economy accompanied by deep economic reforms domestically, Myanmar would be expected to be closing this gap rather swiftly.
Subjects: 
Myanmar
gravity model
export potential
JEL: 
F14
F17
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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