Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/109386
Authors: 
Lin, Tun
Liu, Xiaoyun
Wan, Guanghua
Xin, Xian
Zhang, Yongsheng
Year of Publication: 
2011
Series/Report no.: 
ADB Economics Working Paper Series 244
Abstract: 
The impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the People's Republic of China (PRC) are significant, and differ across regions and crops. The substantial regional differences will induce changes in the agricultural interregional trade pattern. In this paper, we investigate the climate change impacts on this trade pattern, using a computable general equilibrium model of multiple regions and multiple sectors. The results indicate that Northwest, South, Central, and Northeast PRC will see increases in the outflows of agricultural products in 2030 and 2050. Conversely, outflows from East, North, and Southwest PRC will decrease. Grain handling and transportation facilities need to be repositioned to address the changes in agricultural trade flows.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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