Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/109328
Authors: 
Park, Donghyun
Xiao, Qin
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
ADB Economics Working Paper Series 146
Abstract: 
Between June 1998 and March 2006, the price index of apartment housing in Seoul, Republic of Korea, more than doubled, while fundamentals such as gross domestic product, wage, and population increased by less than 35%. This study examines the role of a rational speculative bubble in this price surge. We find that unobservable information explains part of the price volatility, and that a rational bubble proxy is a significant driver of prices. However, neither latent information nor rational bubble is enough to explain the recent housing price appreciation, even in conjunction with observable fundamentals.
Subjects: 
Speculative bubble
latent information
housing market
JEL: 
C13
C52
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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