Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/107564
Authors: 
Bicaba, Zorobabel
Brixiova, Zuzana
Ncube, Mthuli
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers 8774
Abstract: 
This paper develops an adaptive learning model under uncertainty that examines evolution of capital account polices over time and across developing regions. In the framework, countries' past experiences and IMF programs influence policymakers' beliefs about the impact of capital account liberalization on growth, under the 'Mundell's trilemma constraint. The model, calibrated to data for Africa, Latin America and developing Asia, reflects relatively well capital account policies adopted in 1980-2010. It shows that even more developed countries with liberalized capital accounts may revert to controls under large output shocks. The outcomes of capital account switches are better and closer to policymakers' expectations in countries with the IMF programs, underscoring the role of complementarity of policies.
Subjects: 
adaptive learning
dynamics of capital account policies
growth
IMF programs
JEL: 
F43
O4
O43
O55
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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