Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/105132
Authors: 
Chiarini, Bruno
Marzano, Elisabetta
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 5038
Abstract: 
In this paper we investigate the relation between population, wages and urban population in the Italian economy. During the period examined, 1320-1870, the prevailing conditions were those of a poor, mainly agricultural economy with limited human capital and rudimentary technology. However, these centuries witnessed the considerable growth of urban centers, a significant demographic phenomenon with major economic consequences. Against this background we set up a theoretical scheme to explain why urbanization did not drive the economy to sustained growth. Our main contribution, validated by an estimated VAR model, suggests that in an early stage of development, migration to cities may have negative consequences for rural marginal productivity. The analysis provides a picture of a trapped economy where urbanization was unable to trigger a persistent process of development without the support of a substantial increase in population.
Subjects: 
urbanization
Malthusian dynamics
pre-industrial labor productivity
population trend
demographic changes
agricultural wages
JEL: 
N33
N53
N93
J11
C32
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.