Pierdzioch, Christian Rülke, Jan Christoph Stadtmann, Georg
Year of Publication:
[Journal:] International Journal of Financial Studies [ISSN:] 2227-7072 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Volume:] 1 [Year:] 2013 [Issue:] 1 [Pages:] 16-29
We used the Wall Street Journal survey data for the period 2006-2012 to analyze whether forecasts of house prices and housing starts provide evidence of (anti-)herding of forecasters. Forecasts are consistent with herding (anti-herding) of forecasters if forecasts are biased towards (away from) the consensus forecast. We found that anti-herding is prevalent among forecasters of house prices. We also report that, following the recent crisis, the prevalence of forecaster anti-herding seems to have changed over time.