Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/102748
Authors: 
Stichnoth, Holger
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
ZEW Discussion Papers 14-069
Abstract: 
Based on a structural model of fertility and female labour force supply with unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence, we evaluate the 2007 reform of parental leave benefits in Germany, which replaced a flat, means-tested benefit by a generous earnings-related transfer. The model predicts a short-term fertility effect of about 4%, which is consistent with recent quasi-experimental evidence. The fertility effect is strongest for first births and increases with income. We use the model for a number of counterfactual policy experiments in which we vary the generosity of parental leave benefits.
Subjects: 
Fertility
female labour supply
family policy
parental leave
latent class models
state dependence
JEL: 
C25
C53
J13
J22
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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