Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/102211 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 4911
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
Rain affects electoral turnout both through a direct effect on the cost of voting and by changing the opportunity cost. In a panel of Norwegian municipalities I find that rain on Election Day increases turnout. As turnout affects electoral outcomes, rain provides an exogeneous source of variation, and hence an instrument, for the party composition of the municipal council. I use this to estimate the causal effect of party composition on politics. I find that an increased share to left wing parties shift spending from education to kindergartens. Beyond this, there are few strong causal effects of political composition.
Subjects: 
rain
electoral turnout
instrumental variables
economic policy
JEL: 
C26
D72
H11
H70
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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