Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/101196
Authors: 
Anderson, Kym
Strutt, Anna
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
ADBI Working Paper Series 368
Abstract: 
Rapid trade-led economic growth in emerging Asia has been shifting the global economic and industrial centres of gravity away from the north Atlantic, raising the importance of Asia in world trade but also altering the commodity composition of trade by Asia and other regions. What began with Japan in the 1950s and the Republic of Korea and Taipei,China from the late 1960s has spread to the much more populous ASEAN region, the People's Republic of China, and India. This paper examines how that growth and associated structural changes are altering agricultural markets in particular and thereby food security. It does so retrospectively and by projecting a model of the world economy that compares alternative growth strategies, trade policy scenarios and savings behaviors to 2030. Projected impacts on sectoral shares of gross domestic product (GDP), "openness" to trade and the composition and direction of trade are drawn out, followed by effects of the boom in non-farm sectors on agricultural self-sufficiency and real food consumption per capita in Asia and elsewhere. The paper concludes by drawing implications for policies that can address more efficiently Asia's concerns about food security and rural-urban income disparity than the trade policy measures used by earlier-industrializing Northeast Asia.
Subjects: 
asia
asean
agricultural markets
agriculture
food security
world trade
JEL: 
D58
F13
F15
F17
Q17
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
860.22 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.