Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/92331 
Year of Publication: 
2012
Citation: 
[Journal:] IZA Journal of European Labor Studies [ISSN:] 2193-9012 [Volume:] 1 [Publisher:] Springer [Place:] Heidelberg [Year:] 2012 [Pages:] 1-21
Publisher: 
Springer, Heidelberg
Abstract: 
We analyze expectations of the Dutch population ages 25 and older concerning future generosity of state and occupational pensions, the main pillars of the Dutch pension system. We use rotating panel data with monthly observations from 2006 until 2012 on individuals' subjective expectations concerning changes between now and ten or twenty years from now in the purchasing power of occupational pensions and of old age social security benefits, the eligibility age for old age social security benefits, and the average retirement age ten or twenty years from now. We find significant variation in expectations across socio-economic groups, with more pessimistic expectations amongst higher educated and higher income groups. We also find that expectations have gradually become more pessimistic since the onset of the economic and financial crisis, in line with the plans for reforms that will reduce pension generosity.
Subjects: 
subjective probabilities
old age social security
occupational pensions
JEL: 
D84
H55
J26
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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