Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/62962
Authors: 
Raaum, Oddbjørn
Rogstad, Jon
Røed, Knut
Westlie, Lars
Year of Publication: 
2005
Series/Report no.: 
Memorandum, Department of Economics, University of Oslo 2005,17
Abstract: 
We develop a forward-looking empirical concept of social exclusion based on the estimated transition probabilities from a random effects multinominal logit-model. Youths are considered socially excluded if they are currently outside school/work and have a low predicted probability of re-entering in the near future. Implemented on extraordinary rich event history data of compulsory school graduates, we estimate social exclusion among Norwegian youths and find that social exclusion is (i) non-cyclical; (ii) rare among teen-agers, except for immigrant children and individuals with a disadvantaged family background; (iii) more prevalent among young adults in their early twenties; and (iv) independent of gender.
Subjects: 
social exclusion
multinominal logit-model
Youths
JEL: 
I29
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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