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dc.contributor.authorFichtner, Ferdinanden
dc.contributor.authorJunker, Simonen
dc.contributor.authorSchwäbe, Carstenen
dc.date.accessioned2012-07-27-
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-24T12:46:51Z-
dc.date.available2012-08-24T12:46:51Z-
dc.date.issued2012-
dc.identifier.citation|aDIW Economic Bulletin|c2192-7219|v2|h7|nDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)|lBerlin|y2012|p14-20en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/61217-
dc.description.abstractThe development of private consumption is a crucial factor in compiling macroeconomic projections as part of national accounts. Household savings also play an important role as an explanatory variable for consumer development, since private households must decide whether to spend their incomes on consumption or saving. The estimated savings rate in DIW Berlin's economic projections can be improved by including micro-data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP). It is evident that the significant increase in the savings rate in the years before the crisis in 2008/2009 is also related to the redistribution of income. While relatively low earners receive their income overwhelmingly from wages or social welfare benefits, wealthy households not only receive higher wages, but also earn the bulk of their money from entrepreneurial activities and income from investments. Particularly in the years before the financial crisis, the latter increased dramatically while wages remained virtually static. Strong income growth has therefore primarily benefited those segments of the population that save a lot. If wage and profit incomes had developed similarly, consumer demand in Germany would have grown faster. In the next two years, however, a further increase in the savings rate is unlikely because of rapidly rising wages.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) |cBerlinen
dc.subject.jelE21en
dc.subject.jelE25en
dc.subject.jelD31en
dc.subject.jelD12en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordprivate consumptionen
dc.subject.keywordsavings rateen
dc.subject.keywordincome distributionen
dc.subject.keywordeconomic projectionsen
dc.titleIncome distribution: An important factor for economic forecasts-
dc.typeArticleen
dc.identifier.ppn720234220en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen
econstor.citation.journaltitleDIW Economic Bulletinen
econstor.citation.issn2192-7219en
econstor.citation.volume2en
econstor.citation.issue7en
econstor.citation.publisherDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)en
econstor.citation.publisherplaceBerlinen
econstor.citation.year2012en
econstor.citation.startpage14en
econstor.citation.endpage20en

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