Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/56490 
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Discussion Papers No. 2012-18
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
This article is devoted to the problem of the detection of overt or tacit collusion equilibrium in the context of the choice of the appropriate econometric method, a choice that is determined by the amount of information that the observer possesses. The author addresses this problem in two steps. First, to provide a theoretical background, he uses a collusion marker based on structural disturbances in a price process'; variance. Then, he applies a Markov switching model with switching in variance regimes. The author considers this method adequate and coherent with the problem structure and the research objective, and useful for assessing the functionality of the collusion marker he uses. He uses the model to examine the Indian cement industry in the period 1994-2009 and finds some objective indications of collusion and competition phases. These phases are confirmed by certain historical facts as well as by numerous research articles.
Subjects: 
Explicit and tacit collusion
collusive equilibrium
cartel detection
cement industry
price variance
Markov switching model
JEL: 
C22
L13
L61
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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