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Title:No country for old men: Aging dictators and economic growth PDF Logo
Authors:Jong-A-Pin, Richard
Mierau, Jochen O.
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:KOF working papers // KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich 289
Abstract:This paper develops a model of the relationship between the age of a dictator and economic growth. In the model a dictator must spread the resources of the economy over his reign but faces mortality and political risk. The model shows that if the time horizon of the dictator decreases, either due to an increase of mortality risk or political risk, the economic growth rate decreases. The model predictions are supported by empirical evidence based on a threeway fixed effects model including country, year and dictator fixed effects for a sample of dictators from 116 countries. These results are robust to sample selection, the tenure of dictators, the definition of dictatorship, and a broad set of economic growth determinants.
Subjects:Aging
economic growth
government performance
political instability
political leaders
JEL:H11
O11
O43
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:doi:10.3929/ethz-a-006668259
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:KOF Working Papers, KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich

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