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dc.contributor.authorBlanford, Geoffrey J.en
dc.contributor.authorRichels, Richard G.en
dc.contributor.authorRutherford, Thomas F.en
dc.date.accessioned2011-01-13-
dc.date.accessioned2011-12-15T11:32:42Z-
dc.date.available2011-12-15T11:32:42Z-
dc.date.issued2008-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/53299-
dc.description.abstractRecent growth in carbon dioxide emissions from China's energy sector has exceeded expectations. In a major US government study of future emissions released in 2007 (1), participating models appear to have substantially underestimated the near-term rate of increase in China's emissions. We present a recalibration of one of those models to be consistent with both current observations and historical development patterns. The implications of the new specification for the feasibility of commonly discussed stabilization targets, particularly when considering incomplete global participation, are profound. Unless China's emissions begin to depart soon from their (newly projected) business-as-usual path, stringent stabilization goals may be unattainable. The current round of global policy negotiations must engage China and other developing countries, not to the exclusion of emissions reductions in the developed world and possibly with the help of significant financial incentives, if such goals are to be achieved. It is in all nations' interests to work cooperatively to limit our interference with the global climate.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aFondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) |cMilanoen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aNota di Lavoro |x68.2008en
dc.subject.jelQ48en
dc.subject.jelH23en
dc.subject.jelO13en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordEnergy-Economy Modelingen
dc.subject.keywordChinaen
dc.subject.keywordEconomic Growth Ratesen
dc.subject.keywordEnergy Intensityen
dc.subject.keywordInternational Climate Policyen
dc.titleImpact of revised CO2 growth projections for China on global stabilization goals-
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn643915311en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen

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