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Title:Democracy, Populism and Hyperinflation[s]: Evidence from Latin America PDF Logo
Authors:Bittencourt, Manoel
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Hannover 2010 47
Abstract:We test for the populist view of inflation in Latin America between 1970 and 2007. The empirical results - based on the relatively novel panel time-series data and analysis - confirm the theoretical prediction that recently elected governments coming into power after periods of political dictatorship, and which are faced with high economic inequality, end up generating high inflation and macroeconomic instability. All in all, we suggest that the implementation of democracy as such requires not only the 'right political context' - or an appropriately constrained executive - to work well, but it also must come with certain economic institutions (e.g. central bank independence and a credible and responsible fiscal authority), institutions which would raise the costs of pursuing populist policies in the first place.
Subjects:Polarisation
populism
hyperinflation
Latin America.
JEL:E31
E65
N16
O23
O54
Document Type:Conference Paper
Appears in Collections:Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, 2010 (Hannover)

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