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dc.contributor.authorDoyle, Orlaen
dc.contributor.authorWalsh, Patrick Paulen
dc.date.accessioned2005-12-07-
dc.date.accessioned2010-07-07T09:13:11Z-
dc.date.available2010-07-07T09:13:11Z-
dc.date.issued2005-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/33589-
dc.description.abstractMany theoretical models of transition are driven by the assumption that economic decision making is subject to political constraints. In this paper we empirically test whether the winners and losers of economic reform determined voting behaviour in the first five national elections in the Czech Republic. We propose that voters, taking stock of endowments from the planning era, could predict whether they would become winners or losers of transition. Using survey data we measure the percentage of individuals by region who were afraid and not afraid of economic reform in 1990. We define the former as potential winners who should vote for pro-reform parties, while latter are potential losers who should support left-wing parties. Using national election results and regional economic indicators, we demonstrate that there is persistence in support for pro-reform and communist parties driven by prospective voting based on initial conditions in 1990. As a result, we show that regional unemployment rates in 2002 are good predictors of regional voting patterns in 1990.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aInstitute for the Study of Labor (IZA) |cBonnen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aIZA Discussion Papers |x1719en
dc.subject.jelD72en
dc.subject.jelE24en
dc.subject.jelE61en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordpolitical constraintsen
dc.subject.keywordprospective economic votingen
dc.subject.keywordinitial conditionsen
dc.subject.stwSystemtransformationen
dc.subject.stwWahlverhaltenen
dc.subject.stwRegionale Arbeitslosigkeiten
dc.subject.stwTschechische Republiken
dc.titleDid political constraints bind during transition? Evidence from Czech elections 1990 - 2002-
dc.type|aWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn498937194en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen

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