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dc.contributor.authorMicevska, Maja B.en
dc.contributor.authorZak, Paul J.en
dc.contributor.editorClaremont Institute for Economic Policy Studiesen
dc.date.accessioned2010-05-14T11:06:36Z-
dc.date.available2010-05-14T11:06:36Z-
dc.date.issued2002-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/31450-
dc.description.abstractThe transition to market-oriented economies in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union in the 1990s, like the Great Depression in the U.S. and Germany in the 1930s, generated sharp declines in real incomes and a corresponding drop in fertility. This is contrary to the robust negative relationship between income and fertility that has been extensively documented. This paper presents a theoretical model that explains the positive relationship between fertility and income. The model predicts that: i) the perceived level of subsistence consumption fundamentally determines whether fertility and income are positively or negatively related; ii) once incomes decline below a threshold, declining labor income causes fertility to fall; and iii) rising income inequality has a negative impact on fertility rates. Empirical tests using both aggregate and microeconomic data provide strong support for the predictions of the model. Our empirics predict that the perceived subsistence level is a statistically significant determinant of fertility and that the average country in our sample will remain in a Mathusian fertility regime for twenty more years.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aClaremont McKenna College, Department of Economics |cClaremont, CAen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aClaremont Colleges Working Papers |x2002-01en
dc.subject.jelJ13en
dc.subject.jelP20en
dc.subject.jelI31en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordFertilityen
dc.subject.keywordSubsistence Consumptionen
dc.subject.keywordTransition.en
dc.subject.stwBevölkerungstheorieen
dc.subject.stwFruchtbarkeiten
dc.subject.stwEinkommenen
dc.subject.stwSubsistenzwirtschaften
dc.subject.stwOsteuropaen
dc.titleWhat accounts for the emergence of Malthusian fertility in transition economies?-
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn366228730en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen

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