Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/30700 
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 2931
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We study the empirical determinants of China's capital flight. In addition to the covered interest differential, our empirical exercise includes a rather exhaustive list of macroeconomic variables and a few institutional factors. Overall, our regression exercise shows that China's capital flight is quite well explained by its own history and covered interest differentials. The other possible determinants offer relatively small additional explanatory power. It is also found that China's capital flight responds differently to the components of covered interest differentials and to the positive and negative components of these variables. The response pattern, however, depends on the choice of data frequency. The general impression is that the monthly results are more intuitive than the quarterly ones.
Subjects: 
covered interest differential
forward premium
expected depreciation
asymmetric response
macro determinants
JEL: 
F30
F32
G15
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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