Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/23168 
Year of Publication: 
2003
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 2003-11
Publisher: 
Rutgers University, Department of Economics, New Brunswick, NJ
Abstract: 
In this paper, we show the first order validity of the block bootstrap in the context of Kolmogorov type conditional distribution tests when there is dynamic misspecification and parameter estimation error. Our approach differs from the literature to date because we construct a bootstrap statistic that allows for dynamic misspecification under both hypotheses. We consider two test statistics; one is the CK test of Andrews (1997), and the other is in the spirit of Diebold, Gunther and Tay (1998). The limiting distribution of both tests is a Gaussian process with a covariance kernel that reflects dynamic misspecification and parameter estimation error. In order to provide valid asymptotic critical values we suggest an extention of the empirical process version of the block bootstrap to the case of non vanishing parameter estimation error. The findings from Monte Carlo experiments show that both statistics have good finite sample properties for samples as small as 500 observations.
Subjects: 
block bootstrap
conditional distributions
conditional Kolmogorov tests
dynamic misspecification
parameter estimation error
JEL: 
C12
C22
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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