Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/75601 
Year of Publication: 
1999
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 196
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
Using various methods (currency demand, physical input (electricity) method, model approach), which are discussed and criticized, estimates of the size of the shadow economy in 76 developing, transition and OECD-countries are presented. The average size of a shadow economy varies from 12 percent of GDP for OECD, to 23 percent for transition and to 39 percent for developing countries. An increasing burden of taxation and social security contributions combined with rising state regulatory activities are the drivin g forces for the increase of the shadow economy especially in OECD-countries. According to some findings, a growing shadow economy has a negative effect on official GDP growth, and a positive impact of corruption on the size of the shadow economy can be found.
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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