Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/60521 
Year of Publication: 
2007
Series/Report no.: 
Staff Report No. 292
Publisher: 
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, NY
Abstract: 
In this paper, we infer motives for trade initiation from market sidedness. We define trading as more two-sided (one-sided) if the correlation between the numbers of buyerand seller-initiated trades increases (decreases), and assess changes in sidedness (relative to a control sample) around events that identify trade initiators. Consistent with asymmetric information, trading is more one-sided prior to merger news. Consistent with belief heterogeneity, trading is more two-sided (1) before earnings and macro announcements with greater dispersions of analyst forecasts and (2) after earnings and macro news events with larger announcement surprises. A simultaneous equation system is used to examine the co-determinacy of sidedness, the bid-ask spread, volatility, the number of trades, and the order imbalance.
Subjects: 
sidedness, divergent beliefs, trade initiation, trading motives, earnings news, macro news
JEL: 
G10
G14
G34
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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