Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/44978 
Year of Publication: 
2011
Series/Report no.: 
KIT Working Paper Series in Economics No. 16
Publisher: 
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT), Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON), Karlsruhe
Abstract: 
This paper investigates the processing of repeated complex information. The focus of this study is, whether additional information and the introduction of performance-based payoffs have an influence on judgement. Therefore, an experiment is designed to investigate the degree of precision and quality of interval estimates. The data shows that providing additional information decreases the precision of stated estimates, while it improves its quality. The same result is obtained, when performance-based payoffs are introduced to an otherwise hypothetical decision environment. That means, while the variation in the treatment variables increase the quality of the estimate, the precision as a reflection of the decision makers confidence is reduced.
Subjects: 
interval estimates
uncertainty
judgmental estimation
repeated information
hypothetical versus payoffs
experiment
JEL: 
C90
C91
C92
D81
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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