Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/34073 
Year of Publication: 
2006
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 2397
Publisher: 
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between lagged adjustment processes and growth in dynamic labour market systems. We choose Denmark as the focal point of our empirical analysis and find that the NRU explains only 33% of the unemployment variation, while frictional growth accounts for the remaining 67%. Therefore, our theoretical and empirical findings raise serious doubts as to whether the NRU should play a key instrumental role in policy making.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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