Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/314116 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Applied Economics [ISSN:] 1667-6726 [Volume:] 24 [Issue:] 1 [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 17-44
Publisher: 
Taylor & Francis, Abingdon
Abstract: 
This article investigates the post-1990 link between broad money growth and inflation in 16 full-fledged inflation-targeting regimes and four benchmark non-inflation-targeting regimes. This study employs the Christiano-Fitzgerald band-pass filter and continuous wavelet transform to analyze the co-movements across operational horizons and time. According to the band-pass filtering techniques, the link between money growth and inflation was weak and statistically nonsignificant over the investigated period: from 1990 onwards. The wavelet analysis demonstrated significant causality running from money growth to inflation, and strong significant co-movements between the two variables around the Great Recession at a typical business cycle frequency. This finding suggests that policymakers may need to respond to the short-run surges in money growth by reducing money growth rates. The empirical findings support the proposal that policymakers should return to a monetary framework that controls the money supply.
Subjects: 
Money and inflation
inflation targeting
quantity theory of money
money demand
wavelets
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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