Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/286166 
Title (translated): 
Expectations for Mexico to change the destination of its exports
Year of Publication: 
2019
Citation: 
[Journal:] Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa [ISSN:] 1886-516X [Volume:] 28 [Year:] 2019 [Pages:] 3-22
Publisher: 
Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla
Abstract (Translated): 
This article analyses the Mexican exports to China and the European Union along with the effects of a possible shift of Mexican products to the above markets due to a change within the US-Mexico trade agreements. Beginning with a review of Mexican trade agreements with the European Union and China, the article describes the quarterly Mexican exports of goods and products and their primary destinations to these countries. Later, the paper analyses the exports of Mexican products from years 2012-2015 fitting their values to Gamma and Normal distributions. Probabilities for different scenarios, which include the average and maximum exports, are given in order to quantify the possibilities that Mexico has to replace the goods and products that can not be positioned in the American market.
Subjects: 
Mexican export
probability
European Union
JEL: 
F17
F15
C16
C13
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-sa Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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