Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/270429 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2023
Series/Report no.: 
BOFIT Policy Brief No. 5/2023
Publisher: 
Bank of Finland, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), Helsinki
Abstract: 
The share of private consumption has long been small in the Chinese GDP. The share started to increase in the past decade, but the trend reversed with the covid-19 pandemic. Now as the Chinese economy reopens and recovers from covid restrictions, the share of consumption could return to a growing trend. This resumption of a longer-term trend could have important implications for global trade. Our simulations, which are based on recent international input-output data, suggest that the current shift in China's demand structure is likely to increase import demand for sectors such as the food industry, agriculture, textiles, and travel services. Sectors facing a demand slowdown include base metals, non-metallic minerals, and machinery and equipment.
Subjects: 
China
imports
rebalancing
input-output
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Research Report

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