Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/268262 
Year of Publication: 
2022
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 201/2022
Publisher: 
Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), Berlin
Abstract: 
The growth model perspective has provided avenues for bridging Comparative and International Political Economy, mainly with regard to the global financial crisis and developments within the Eurozone. This article aims to contribute to this endeavor by highlighting the joint effects of capital flows and commodity price swings on growth models in emerging capitalist economies. While the literature on dependent financialization has primarily focused on debt-led growth in the Global South, we spell out the negative implications of commodity-based export-led growth. To this end, we first present a stylized depiction of commodity dependence and provide descriptive statistical evidence of its global prevalence. Subsequently, we trace the co-movement of capital flows to emerging economies and commodity prices. We argue that this 'commodity-finance nexus' reinforces the pro-cyclical nature of commodity-based growth, financial volatility, and the vulnerability to global boombust-cycles. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the conventional method for establishing growth models by calculating the relative contributions to growth is ill-suited to capture the commodity-based export-led growth model of highly commodity-dependent economies. Finally, we identify commodity price movements and fiscal policies as major drivers of growth, with an important role for domestic politics as an intervening variable.
Subjects: 
Commodity prices
capital flows
dependent financialization
growth models
emerging economies
boom-bust-cycles
export-led growth
fiscal policy
dependency
JEL: 
O13
O47
Q33
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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