Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/258581 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Risk and Financial Management [ISSN:] 1911-8074 [Volume:] 14 [Issue:] 10 [Article No.:] 477 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 1-17
Publisher: 
MDPI, Basel
Abstract: 
Recent value factor underperformance has called into question whether the value factor payoff is cyclically low, or if there are more structural challenges. We use a new approach to explore a link between the well-known macroeconomic exposures of traditional asset classes and those of value premia in a multi-asset context, focusing on country equities, bonds, and currencies in developed markets. Taking advantage of the cross-country inflation and growth expectations implicit in every value portfolio, we derive the net inflation and real growth characteristics embedded in each asset class carry portfolio at each point in time. Our analysis provides several insights: (1) Multi-asset value payoff is only weakly related to the global business cycle. (2) However, we find that the payoff to value portfolios is strongly linked to relative growth and inflation expectations across countries. (3) Over the last decade, we find that cheaper assets have had much lower net relative macro exposures compared to earlier time periods. This characteristic coincides with the period of unconventional central bank policies designed to lift global growth after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC).
Subjects: 
factor investing
alternative risk premia
style premia
value factor
macro fundamentals
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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