Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/258068 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Risks [ISSN:] 2227-9091 [Volume:] 8 [Issue:] 4 [Article No.:] 115 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 1-26
Publisher: 
MDPI, Basel
Abstract: 
The crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness for handling the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a first quarter chronicle of COVID-19 in Hubei China, Italy and Spain, particularly focusing on infection speed, death and fatality rates. By analysing the parameters of the best fitting distributions of the available data for the three rates in each of the three regions, we illustrate the pandemic's evolution in relation to government measures. We compared the effectiveness of lockdown measures by observing the true situation in each dataset, without proposing a mathematical model. The feasibility of obtaining a firm conclusion in regard to the best solution for containing COVID-19 is limited, with a universal solution failing to exist due to globally varying culture, mentality and behaviours. Our method provides valid insights into the individual and national actions implemented and adhered to in order to slow the effect of the pandemic during the first-wave of COVID-19.
Subjects: 
epidemic
risk
distribution fitting
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
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Document Type: 
Article
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