Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/245482 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 9301
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
Aspirations provide the underlying dynamics of the behavior of individuals whether they are realized or not. Knowledge about the characteristics and motives of those who aspire to leave the host country is key for both host and home countries to formulate appropriate and effective policies in order to keep their valued immigrants or citizens and foster their (re-)integration. Based on unique individual-level Gallup World Polls data, a random utility model, and a multinomial logit we model the aspirations or stated preferences of immigrants across 138 countries worldwide. Our analysis reveals selection in characteristics, a strong role for soft factors like social ties and sociocultural integration, and a faint role for economic factors. Changes in circumstances in the home and host countries are also important determinants of aspirations. Results differ by the host countries' level of economic development.
Subjects: 
economics of immigrants
geographic labor mobility
public policy
microeconomic behaviour
underlying principles
international migration
large data sets
modelling and analysis
JEL: 
J15
J61
J68
D01
F22
C55
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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