Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/242466 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2021: Climate Economics
Publisher: 
ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, Kiel, Hamburg
Abstract: 
We use a novel anchoring-measure based on the distribution across professional forecasters' point forecasts to test empirically whether target formulations matter for the anchoring of long-term inflation expectations. In a panel of 29 countries, we find that the formulation of a point target increases the degree of anchoring compared with countries with a mere quantitative definition of price stability. A point target is more sucessful in limiting upside risks to inflation, while a range target allows for higher downside risk to the inflation outlook. Our results suggest that range targets and tolerance bands are interpreted by professional forecasters as zones where policy is less active.
Subjects: 
monetary policy
inflation targeting
inflation risk
expectations anchoring
JEL: 
E42
E52
D84
Document Type: 
Conference Paper

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