Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/238288 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2020
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
IRENE Working Paper No. 20-05
Verlag: 
University of Neuchâtel, Institute of Economic Research (IRENE), Neuchâtel
Zusammenfassung: 
Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving Covid-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be computed with a delay of one day. Moreover, it is highly correlated with macroeconomic data and survey indicators of Swiss economic activity. Therefore, it provides timely and reliable warning signals if the health of the economy takes a turn for the worse.
Schlagwörter: 
Covid-19
Leading indicator
Financial market data
News sentiment
Forecasting
Switzerland
JEL: 
E32
E37
C53
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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