Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/202734 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 12388
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
This paper presents results from the third year of a multi-year, pre-committed research design for analyzing recent minimum wage changes. Using ACS and CPS data through 2017, we find that relatively large minimum wage increases reduced employment among low-skilled individuals by just over 2 percentage points. The effects of smaller increases are more variable and estimates for inflation-indexed increases tend toward moderately positive values. The effects of smaller increases are relatively more positive when we analyze the CPS. The most recently enacted minimum wage changes tend to be positively correlated with employment among low-skilled individuals, while relatively early and large increases are strongly negatively correlated with employment. Analysis of future data will be needed to determine whether this apparent difference between short- and medium-run effects is systematic.
Subjects: 
minimum wages
employment
pre-commitment
JEL: 
J08
J23
J38
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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