Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/162380 
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
Munich Discussion Paper No. 2017-2
Publisher: 
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, München
Abstract: 
This paper investigates the effect of the largest rail strikes in German history in 2014-2015 on long-distance buses - a newly liberalized market. Using a novel dataset of detailed bus ticket sales and rail cancellations, I find that the primary channel that drives ticket sales during the strike is whether the absolute bus travel time was sufficiently short. In a difference-indifferences framework, I exploit this variation to identify any demand persistence. Although the common trend assumption does not seem to be completely tenable in the given context, my results point to a persistent effect on the ticket sales for inter-city buses on the affected routes.
Subjects: 
Transportation
Long-Run Demand Effects
Intermodal Substitution
Strike
JEL: 
L92
R41
C81
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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