Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/144358 
Year of Publication: 
2008
Series/Report no.: 
NBB Working Paper No. 145
Publisher: 
National Bank of Belgium, Brussels
Abstract: 
We study sources and consequences of fluctuations in the housing market. The upward trend in real housing prices of the last 40 years can be explained by slow technological progress in the housing sector. Over the business cycle, housing demand and housing technology shocks explain one-quarter each of the volatility of housing investment and housing prices. Monetary factors explain 20 percent, but they played a bigger role in the housing cycle at the turn of the century. We show that the housing market spillovers are non-negligible, concentrated on consumption rather than business investment, and have become more important over time.
Subjects: 
Housing
Wealth E¤ects
Bayesian Estimation
Two-sector Models
JEL: 
E32
E44
E47
R21
R31
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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