Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/79560 
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
SFB 649 Discussion Paper No. 2013-002
Publisher: 
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk, Berlin
Abstract: 
Standard explanatory variables that determine credit ratings do not achieve significant effects in a sample of 100 US non-financial firms in an ordered probit panel estimation. Sample size and selection as well as the distribution of explanatory variables across rating classes may be the cause this problem. Furthermore, we find evidence to suggest that variable coefficients vary over rating classes when analysed with an unordered loogit model. The sample reproduces well-established macroeconomic effects of credit ratings found by Blume et al. (1998) and highlights the influence of the rating agencies' through-the-cycle approach on rating transitions.
Subjects: 
rating agency
business cycle
through-the-cycle rating methodology
method comparison
JEL: 
G20
G24
G30
G32
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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