Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/75443 
Year of Publication: 
1998
Series/Report no.: 
LICOS Discussion Paper No. 73
Publisher: 
Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, LICOS Centre for Transition Economics, Leuven
Abstract: 
We examine the evolution of industrial output in Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Romania over the period 1989-1995 in terms of product trade orientation prior to the transition process, some products traded in a market economy while others traded in the artificial market of the Soviet Bloc. We theoretically and empirically model the growth dynamics of EU oriented output within sectors of industry, ex-post trade and market liberalisation, as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) induced Schumpeterian (vertical) waves of product innovation. We estimate the growth dynamics of non-EU oriented output within sectors as unobservable deterministic sector and country specific heterogeneity. The results indicate that the evolution of industrial production within sectors that were EU oriented prior to transition grew with increasing convexity over time. This growth was unconstrained by the transition process due to increased access to the European market, foreign capital and foreign expertise. Pre-transition non-EU industrial production is estimated to follow the same pattern as that observed in CIS countries. Hence the faster recovery, or the U-Shape industrial output, observed in CEE as compared with CIS countries is mainly explained by the inherited presence of EU oriented production and its unconstrained growth over the transition period.
Subjects: 
Foreign Direct Investment
Industrial Output Growth
Transition Economies
Cross-Country and Branches of Industry Regressions
JEL: 
F43
O33
P23
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
109.43 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.