Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/65777
Authors: 
Minford, Patrick
Srinivasan, Naveen
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/16
Abstract: 
Forward-looking RE models such as the popular New Keynesian (NK) model do not provide a unique prediction about how the model economy behaves. We need some mechanism that ensures determinacy. McCallum (2011) says it is not needed because models are learnable only with the determinate solution and so the NK model, once learnt in this way, will be determinate. We agree: the only learnable solution that has agents converge on the true NK model is the bubble-free one. But once they have converged they must then understand the model and its full solution therefore including the bubble. Hence the learnability criterion still fails to pick a unique RE solution in NK models.
Subjects: 
New-Keynesian
Taylor Rule
Determinacy
E-stability
Learnability
JEL: 
C62
D84
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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