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Title:Declining distance effects in international trade: Some country-level evidence PDF Logo
Authors:Bleaney, Michael
Salazar Neaves, Abelardo
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:CREDIT Research Paper 11/02
Abstract:Technical progress can be expected to reduce transport costs over time, yet most studies of bilateral trade based on the gravity model find distance effects to be increasing rather than decreasing. We investigate countries' openness to international trade (the ratio of exports plus imports to GDP). We find that trade decreases with geographical remoteness, land area, and lack of access to the sea, all of which are likely to be correlated with transport costs. In contrast to results obtained with log-linear models of bilateral trade, distance effects (remoteness and land area) have declined over time. Trade decreases with population density, and increases with improvements in the terms of trade, investment and a more liberal trade policy. Unlike in the case of bilateral trade, our results are robust to the transformation of the dependent variable.
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CREDIT Research Papers, The University of Nottingham

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