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Title:Estimating marginal returns to education PDF Logo
Authors:Carneiro, Pedro
Heckman, James
Vytlacil, Edward
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:cemmap working paper CWP29/10
Abstract:This paper estimates the marginal returns to college for individuals induced to enroll in college by different marginal policy changes. The recent instrumental variables literature seeks to estimate this parameter, but in general it does so only under strong assumptions that are tested and found wanting. We show how to utilize economic theory and local instrumental variables estimators to estimate the effect of marginal policy changes. Our empirical analysis shows that returns are higher for individuals more likely to attend college. We contrast the returns to well-defined marginal policy changes with IV estimates of the return to schooling. Some marginal policy changes inducing students into college produce very low returns.
Subjects:Returns to Schooling
Marginal Return
Average Return
Marginal Treatment Effect
JEL:J31
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:doi:10.1920/wp.cem.2010.2910
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:cemmap working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)

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