Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/64112
Authors: 
Friedman, Daniel
Abraham, Ralph
Year of Publication: 
2007
Series/Report no.: 
Working Papers, Santa Cruz Center for International Economics 07-03
Abstract: 
We develop a financial market model focused on fund managers who continuously adjust their exposure to risk in response to the payoff gradient. The base model has a stable equilibrium with classic properties. However, bubbles and crashes occur in extended models incorporating an endogenous market risk premium based on investors' historical losses and constant gain learning. When losses have been small for a long time, asset prices inflate as fund managers adopt riskier portfolios. Then slight losses can trigger a crash, as a widening risk premium accelerates the decline in asset price.
Subjects: 
financial markets
bubbles
escape dynamics
time varying risk premium
constant gain learning
agent based models
JEL: 
C63
C73
D53
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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