EconStor >
University of California (UC) >
UC Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz Institute for International Economics (SCIIE) >
Working Papers, Santa Cruz Institute for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:

http://hdl.handle.net/10419/64032
  
Title:Current account patterns and national real estate markets PDF Logo
Authors:Aizenman, Joshua
Jinjarak, Yothin
Issue Date:2008
Series/Report no.:Working Papers, Santa Cruz Center for International Economics 08-16
Abstract:This paper studies the association between the current account and real estate valuation across countries, subject to data availability [43 countries, of which 25 are OECD], during 1990 - 2005. We find robust and strong positive association between current account deficits and the appreciation of the real estate prices/(GDP deflator). Controlling for lagged GDP/capita growth, inflation, financial depth, institution, urban population growth and the real interest rate; a one standard deviation increase of the lagged current account deficits is associated with a real appreciation of the real estate prices by 10%. This real appreciation is magnified by financial depth, and mitigated by the quality of institutions. Intriguingly, the economic importance of current account variations in accounting for the real estate valuation exceeds that of the other variables, including the real interest rate and inflation. Among the OECD countries, we find evidence of a decline overtime in the cross country variation of the real estate/(GDP deflator), consistent with the growing globalization of national real estate markets. Weaker patterns apply to the non-OECD countries in the aftermath of the East Asian crisis.
Subjects:current account
real estate
appreciation
financial depth
JEL:F15
F21
F32
R21
R31
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Working Papers, Santa Cruz Institute for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat
604576528.pdf518.2 kBAdobe PDF
No. of Downloads: Counter Stats
Download bibliographical data as: BibTeX
Share on:http://hdl.handle.net/10419/64032

Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.