Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/62884 
Year of Publication: 
2003
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 498
Publisher: 
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics, London
Abstract: 
In this paper we compared the performance of country specific and regional indicators of reserve adequacy in predicting, out of sample, the balance of payment crisis affecting the South East Asian region during the 1997-98 period. A Dynamic Factor method was used to retrieve reserve adequacy indicators. The empirical findings suggest clear evidence of financial contagion.
Subjects: 
Financial contagion, Dynamic factor model
JEL: 
C32
C51
F34
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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