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dc.contributor.authorDestradi, Sandraen_US
dc.contributor.authorVüllers, Johannesen_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-14en_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-09-13T08:50:16Z-
dc.date.available2012-09-13T08:50:16Z-
dc.date.issued2012en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/62316-
dc.description.abstractWhile mediation efforts in violent conflicts often fail, the academic literature on mediation has long ignored both this phenomenon and its consequences. This paper aims to fill this significant knowledge gap by examining the conditions under which the failure of mediation leads to an escalation of civil war. Based on the literature on bargaining, we argue that the degree of negotiability of the conflict parties' strategic objectives, as well as the relative weight of hardliners and moderates within those conflict parties, influence the likelihood of escalation after mediation failure. A plausibility test carried out for Norway's failed mediation in the Sri Lankan civil war confirms the usefulness of our model. In particular, the suspension of negotiations in April 2003 led to a shift towards less negotiable strategic objectives for both conflict parties and to a strengthening of hardliners within the government. This contributed to the escalation of the conflict, up to its eventual termination in May 2009.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherGerman Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA) Hamburgen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesGIGA Working Papers 202en_US
dc.subject.ddc300en_US
dc.subject.keywordSri Lankaen_US
dc.subject.keywordmediationen_US
dc.subject.keywordcivil waren_US
dc.subject.keywordmediation failureen_US
dc.subject.keywordconflict partiesen_US
dc.subject.stwBürgerkriegen_US
dc.subject.stwMediationen_US
dc.subject.stwSri Lankaen_US
dc.titleThe consequences of failed mediation in civil wars: Assessing the Sri Lankan caseen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn721067859en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
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GIGA Working Papers

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